Above, yours truly in Havana at the Plaza de la RevoluciĆ³n in 2019. Photo by Mitch Geriminsky. |
Back in 2019, it was within a couple of months after I had taken a cruise to Havana, Cuba that then-President Donald Trump slapped on restrictions for travel to the communist island.
Some expected Joe Biden to reverse course and reimpose Barack Obama's Cuba travel policies when he entered the White House. He didn't. The Trump policies still stand.
One may surmise that with Donald Trump's election, the prospects for Cuba are "grimmer".
According to Inkstick Media:
Throughout this year’s US presidential campaign, the campaigns of both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris were largely silent on Cuba. Now, Trump will return to the White House for a second time in January, and his administration will likely maintain the same hardline policies he previously employed toward the island.
Biden maintained the status quo created by Trump’s re-designation of Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism. Under the National Endowment for Democracy, Biden spent $20 million annually in “democracy promotion,” according to former CIA analyst Fulton Armstrong. He also promoted Cuban-American interests to the point that some prominent Cuban exiles in Miami and their descendants called for military intervention instead of lifting the embargo on Cuba.
Cuba is already facing immense hardships, but Trump will likely double down on his past policies, increase sanctions, and introduce more severe restrictions on travel to Cuba, as well as maintain the SSOT designation that has already caused the island widespread difficulties. It is probable that just as in the case of the Trading with the Enemy Act of 1917 and its eventual expansion to encompass the needs of the US government, Trump will be closing any possible loopholes in the existing legislation that is already driving Cuba to the brink of economic collapse.
Trump’s choice for US Secretary of State is also likely to play a role in foreign policy towards the island. US Senator Marco Rubio, a Cuban-American living in Miami, stands out from the majority of Cuban exiles as his family immigrated to the US during Fulgencio Batista’s dictatorship. But Rubio still cast his lot with the Cuban exiles calling for the overthrow of the Cuban revolution.
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