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| Above, the mesas this afternoon. Photo by Armand Vaquer. |
After weeks of scorching-hot 90° plus temperatures, it has finally moderated down to around 83° in Jamestown, New Mexico.
That is a big relief!
It appears that our best shot at some measurable rain in this monsoon season will come Sunday and Monday where it is forecast at 50% chance. We sure can use it!
According to the National Weather Service, the next few days look like this:
This Afternoon
Partly sunny, with a high near 83. West wind around 15 mph.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph after midnight.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming north in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight.
Sunday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Monday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 78.
Monday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Tuesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
2 comments:
When you think of all the tax money that goes to the National Weather Service and then they tell you "a 50% chance of rain" that's the same odds as flipping a coin. So do they actually use all those computers, or do they just flip a coin? A 20% chance of rain is just an exercise in ass-covering. They don't have a clue, but if it happens to rain, they can say, "Well, we told you there was a 20% chance" and claim a correct call. I kept track of a couple of months worth of five day forecasts up here in Canada. For any given day, the average range of temperature predictions for that day over the five days of forecasts was 7 degrees Celcius (which is about 13 degrees F). That means that half the time, the predictions showed an even greater degree of imprecision, with some ranging to 13 degrees C (24 degrees F). The actual weather condition were almost never correct, and sometimes changes three times in a single day. Yet these are the people saying the Earth will be 2.4 degrees hotter 100 years from now. Just another government-funded industry of no practical value.
Yes, a lot of it is ass-covering. The National Weather Service is the official government weather bureau.
I cross-check it with Weather Bug and The Weather Channel. Many times I've found The Weather Channel to be more accurate in its forecasts.
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